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Continuation
of lecture from yesterday on political
socialization
- There is
evidence that K through 12 education tends to inculcate
standard political values for students.
- Strong
identification with democracy, although vaguely
defined and often not critically examined.
- Emphasis
on the value of freedom over equality.
- Strong
identification with free enterprise and the American
capitalist system.
- Acceptance
of the existence of a supreme being, if not
inculcation into Christian thought.
- These
values tend to be reinforced by agents of socialization
in the community.
- There is
evidence that higher education tends to break down some
of the earlier learning.
- But it
depends on the nature of the higher
education.
- Prestigious,
national schools like Northwestern are most corroding
of parental, K 12, and community values.
- This
diversity may account for why schools like Northwestern
also tend to produce students who are more liberal,
rather than conservative
Explaining political participation
- Are
Americans politically apathetic?
- Americans
tend to vote at lower rates than citizens in other
countries.
- Compared
with What? 7.2, page 222
- But
Americans tend to participate more in other forms of
political participation.
- both
conventional participation
- Compared
with What? 7.1, page 214
- and
unconventional participation
How can one explain political participation?
- Recognize
that multiple factors cause political participation.
- participation
is the dependent variable--that to be explained
- the
explanatory factors are the independent variables, as
in this model
- Use a
model for explain that accommodates multiple factors.
- On
pages 58 and 59, Dalton presents predictors of voting
turnout and campaign activity
- Unfortunately,
these variables (turnout and campaign activity) are
not included in his data set.
- Multiple
regression is statistical method for assessing the
independent effects of a set of variables on a single
dependent variable.
Multiple
regression: the general model: Y = X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 +
X5 + X6 + X7
Y = Voting
turnout =
- Education
+ Age + Male + Party attachment + Union attachment +
Political satisfaction + Left/Right
- Perfect
explanation would result in a multiple correlation
coefficient, R, of 1.0.
- Short
of perfection, the higher the R, the better the
overall explanation.
- The
effect of these independent variables is expressed
through regression coefficients, which state each
variable's effect on the dependent variable in the
United States.
- .36
* Education
- .21
* Age
- .00
* Gender (0 = female and 1 = male)
- .15
* Party attachment
- .10
* Union attachment
- .03
* Political satisfaction
- .00
* Left/Right Position
- The
overall multiple correlation (R) = .42, not very high
but respectable.
Figures 3.1 and 3.2 in Dalton uses regression analysis to
assess the effect of different variables on political
participation.
- His
technique to display the findings varies the thickness of
the arrows to indicate the strength of the
effects.
- Studying
these graphs disclose some important differences between
the countries:
- Education
and age are the strongest predictors to turnout in the
US and education is the only strong predictor to
campaign activity.
- In the
other countries, party attachment is one of the
strongest predictors to both turnout and campaign
activity.
- These data
suggest that parties perform a more important role in
other countries in mobilizing the citizenry to
participate in politics than they do in the U.S., where
participation is more individually-motivated.
Another attempt at logging into the UNIX
computers.
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